Intra-EAC trade falls by 10.4%

By Samuel Muhimba | Wednesday, June 10, 2026
Intra-EAC trade falls by 10.4%

The latest EAC Quarterly Statistics bulletin has painted a picture of a rapidly evolving regional economy in which countries are increasingly competing for export markets and investment opportunities.

‎While Uganda remains one of the region's leading economies, the latest figures show that trade growth across the bloc is being driven largely by mineral-rich exports destined for major global markets.

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‎China emerged as the EAC's largest trading partner during the first quarter of 2026. Exports to China increased from US$5.9 billion (Shs22.2 trillion) in Q1 2025 to US$8.6 billion (Shs32.3 trillion) in Q1 2026.

‎The increase was largely supported by exports of copper and other mineral products.

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‎Imports from China also rose sharply to US$6.8 billion (Shs25.6 trillion), underlining the country's importance as both a supplier and buyer within the region.

‎The United Arab Emirates ranked among the most important destinations for EAC exports. South Africa also remained one of the bloc's leading trade partners and continued to play a major role in regional commerce.

‎The EAC's top export destinations included China, the UAE, South Africa, Hong Kong, Mozambique, Switzerland, the United States, the Netherlands, India and Vietnam.

‎For Uganda, these rankings indicate the growing importance of diversifying export markets and strengthening competitiveness.

‎The report shows that mineral commodities accounted for 44.8 percent of total EAC exports.

‎Precious metals and stones contributed another 21.6 percent. This means nearly two-thirds of all exports originated from mineral-related products.

‎Agricultural commodities such as coffee, tea and spices continued to support export earnings, but their relative contribution was lower than that of minerals.

‎Uganda, traditionally known for coffee exports, therefore faces increasing competition from countries benefiting from rising global demand for minerals and precious metals.

‎Another notable trend was the decline in trade within the EAC itself. Intra-EAC trade fell by 10.4 percent to US$4.7 billion (Shs17.7 trillion).

‎Its share of total EAC trade declined from 14.9 percent in 2025 to 10.2 percent in 2026. By contrast, trade with the Southern African Development Community expanded strongly to US$7.0 billion (Shs26.3 trillion).

‎Africa remained the EAC's largest trading partner overall, accounting for 24.1 percent of total trade.

‎Trade with African countries increased to US$11.2 billion (Shs42.1 trillion) from US$9.5 billion (Shs35.7 trillion) a year earlier.

‎The figures suggest that future growth opportunities for Uganda and other EAC economies may increasingly depend on deeper access to continental markets, stronger industrialisation and value addition.

‎As regional exports continue shifting towards minerals and high-value commodities, competition among EAC Partner States for market share and investment is likely to intensify.

‎For Uganda, maintaining export growth while expanding industrial production and value-added exports could become increasingly important in sustaining its position within the region's evolving trade landscape.

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