With just a couple of days left before Parliaments elects a speaker, a poll conducted by NBS TV shows that deputy speaker Jacob Oulanyah is ahead of incumbent, Rebecca Kadaga, if elections were conducted today.
According to the poll, 44% MPs said they would vote for Oulanyah who has been the deputy speaker for 10 years while 27% said they would go for Kadaga, who has led the House for 10 years. FDC’s Ibrahim Ssemujju Nganda trails in third position with 2.3%.
The poll reveals that 14% of the MPs are still waiting for their party position to decide who they would choose while 12% declined to give their opinion of the matter.
This means that the final results could change when the undecided MPs, who total 26%, make up their minds.
At least 513 MPs were interviewed for the poll. The poll was conducted between April and May.
From the poll, 45% of the male MPs said they would vote Oulanyah while 27% of the males showed their preference for Kadaga implying that more men are more likely to vote for Oulanyah as opposed to Kadaga.
The poll also showed that at least 42% of the female MPs would Oulanyah while 26% would vote Kadaga to be the speaker in the 11th Parliament.
Based on the party, 52% of the NRM MPs said they would vote Oulanyah while 25% expressed their support for Kadaga.
However 19% of MPs from the National Unity Platform, the leading opposition party said they would cast their vote for Kadaga while 6.3% said they would vote Oulanyah.
Equally, Kadaga is also leading in the Forum for Democratic Change with 45% of the MPs saying they would vote for her compared with 9.4% who said they would go for Oulanyah.
Kadaga also enjoys more support among Independent MPs with 37% of them saying they would vote for her. Oulanyah scored 35% among independents.
The poll shows that in the Central region Oulanyah is leading with 29%. Kadaga came the second with 21% while Nganda scored 4.6%.
In the Eastern region at least 39% said they are more likely to vote for Oulanyah while 35% think Kadaga is a better representative for them. Only 3.7% said they would go for Ssemujju.
In the Northern region, 63% of the MPs interviewed said they would vote Oulanyah while 19% would go with Kadaga.
According to the poll findings, Oulanyah is leading in the Western region with 39% while 32% said they would opt for Kadaga.
Deputy speakership race
In the race for the deputy speakership, the poll shows that Bukedea Woman MP Anita Among is leading with 16%. 5% of the MPs said they would vote, Thomas Tayebwa while FDC’s Yusuf Nsibambi is third with 3%,
Jacob Oboth Oboth got 1.2%, David Bahati is at 0.9% and Muhammad Nsereko stands at 0.9%.
The findings further indicated that 35% of the MPs are waiting for the party position while 40% of the MPs declined to give their opinion on whom they think is going to be the deputy speaker of Parliament.
According to the poll, 19% of the male MPs said they would vote Among while 6% would vote for Tayebwa.
9% of the female MPs interviewed think that Among would be a better representative for them whereas 4% would go for Tayebwa.
The election for speaker and the deputy speaker is slated for May 24 at Kololo ceremonial ground following the swearing in of 529 members of Parliament.